{"id":98468,"date":"2023-10-31T10:37:48","date_gmt":"2023-10-31T09:37:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fondazionepirelli.org\/uncategorized\/litalia-e-in-crisi-ma-non-e-condannata-al-declino-ascoltando-bartali-de-rita-e-chi-conosce-lindustria\/"},"modified":"2023-11-03T15:28:27","modified_gmt":"2023-11-03T14:28:27","slug":"italy-is-facing-a-crisis-but-not-all-is-lost-yet-according-to-bartali-de-rita-and-those-who-know-about-italian-industry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fondazionepirelli.org\/en\/corporate-culture\/blog\/italy-is-facing-a-crisis-but-not-all-is-lost-yet-according-to-bartali-de-rita-and-those-who-know-about-italian-industry\/","title":{"rendered":"Italy is facing a crisis but not all is lost yet, according to Bartali, De Rita and those who know about Italian industry"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Italian economy<\/strong> is on the rise again, though only by a fraction \u2013 and this fraction is progressively shrinking, 0.7% this year and an expected 0.5% in 2024. Unfortunately, then, we’re back to that flat and stagnant state that marked the last 20 years, trailing behind all main European countries after those erratic post-Covid times, when the country actually bounced back and even started recovering (8.3% in 2021 and 3.7% in 2022). Household consumption is down, stock lying in companies’ warehouses is dwindling and export is low, loans are few and far apart and industrial production is decreasing \u2013 it all paints a dreary picture for the future.<\/p>\n

Data released on Saturday by the Centro Studi Confindustria<\/strong> research centre, as part of a report entitled \u201cL\u2019Italia torna alla bassa crescita?\u201d (\u201cIs Italy back to a slow growth?\u201d) (Il Sole24Ore, 29 October) confirms trends already highlighted by the International Monetary Fund, the EU and the main international watchdogs. That question mark in the title, however, seems to suggest two things: concern that the economic situation might yet be further affected by current strains and uncertainties, but also hope that the slow growth might get a chance to pick up, perhaps through the implementation of more appropriate economic, fiscal and industrial policies that may reverse this negative trend.<\/p>\n

Essentially, the future of our economy, our employment market and our earnings is not yet set in stone, a decline could be avoided<\/strong> and better times may yet be ahead, although, of course, only if…<\/p>\n

Let’s look at the factors we already know: a general hyperglobalisation crisis<\/strong> that affected the transition from the 20th century to the new millennium, carrying with it intolerable disparities and inequalities; geo-political tensions swaying a multipolar world marked by conflicts between the United States and China and the devastating strength of new and powerful international players (such as India’s rapid growth); a dramatic outburst of armed conflicts<\/strong>, from the Russian invasion of the Ukraine to the war in the Middle East, which undermined already fragile international trade relations and disrupted assets in the Mediterranean region, with repercussions on both the security and energy fronts.<\/p>\n

Europe, also thanks to its historical heritage \u2013 a unique blend of economic development and widespread wealth, social democracy and justice (Patrizio Banchi in la Repubblica, 11 September) \u2013 could yet play a key role in restoring balance and optimism, further aided by its shared monetary and fiscal policies, which proved a success in both political and cultural terms, but it’s currently struggling to voice an authoritative and unanimous approach.<\/p>\n

To such an already negative climate, we can further add the inflation rate and the cost of money, a demographic imbalance and the impact of pressures generated by the technological and environmental transitions, whose social cost we are currently paying while we’re learning to handle their evolution so as to reap their benefits \u2013 sadly, however, the road is long and paved with misgivings.<\/p>\n

We are basically living in a profoundly uncertain era and, day after day, unfolding events give rise to darkest thoughts \u2013 these are circumstances ill-suited to our growth and development needs for sure.<\/p>\n

Moreover, Italy has to pay an additional price, which aggravates the situation: being an export country, the fall in international trade has brought its economy to a halt. The recession in Germany (Italy’s main industrial and commercial partner) is having an impact on several manufacturing sectors, starting with the automotive and mechatronics ones (\u201cGermany’s hardships bear down on our GDP\u201d, asserts Mario Deaglio, La Stampa, 13 September). Italy’s rising public debt doesn’t allow for the implementation of fiscal and public expenditure levers that could stimulate investment and recovery, as it’s happening in the United States and Germany. Up to now, political and public administration incompetence has prevented the creation of opportunities calling for the significant financial resources (237 billion in non-repayable loans and funds) made available by the PNRR, the Italian recovery and resilience plan (an intriguing description of current circumstances can be found in PNRR. La grande abbuffata \u2013 PNRR. A bingeing spree, a book by Tito Boeri and Roberto Perotti recently published by Feltrinelli).<\/p>\n

So, is Italy’s bleak fate really and inexorably sealed? \u201cIs it all wrong, should I start over?\u201d as Gino Bartali used to joke? Not at all \u2013 indeed, the great champion who used to grumble and complain and yet triumphed in the Tour de France and the Giro d’Italia had to backpedal on his own words.<\/p>\n

And furthermore, one of the sharpest commentators of the Italian economy and society, Giuseppe De Rita<\/strong>, president of Censis, offers a controversial<\/strong> viewpoint: \u201cWhen talking about the real economy, nobody ever mentions those parts of the country that are malfunctioning \u2013 key parts of the economic systems that are left unattended\u201d (Corriere della Sera, 25 October). Let’s go back to the 1970s. After the Yom Kippur War, when Israel defeated an extremely powerful alliance of Arab countries, energy prices went berserk, the Western economies underwent a terribly harsh period of reconstruction, inflation in Italy surpassed the double figures, public finances were in dire straits and, moreover, Italy was struggling through the \u201cYears of lead\u201d, a period of social unrest and terrorism. No one noticed it at the time, yet the Italian industry, little by little, was stealthily and \u201cinformally\u201d restructuring itself over the territories, creating new competitive assets. We only realised this in the early 1980s, when an extraordinary amount of financial liquidity became available, looking for outlets and good investments, and Italy found itself wealthy and dynamic, thriving with innovative industrial districts as well as newly risen and brazen industrial, financial, fashion and advertisement moguls and tycoons.<\/p>\n

And today? De Rita invites us to take a proper look within the hidden corners of Italian society and, despite figures pointing to a crisis, nonetheless give a voice and clear the way for those who are producing, innovating<\/strong>, growing<\/strong> and manufacturing<\/strong>: \u201cItalian enterprises that are still in business are actually noticing some signs of life \u2013 feeble, yet there nonetheless: Italy’s driving engine \u2013 Milan and the Lombardy region \u2013 is still running well; the north-east is overcoming its economic dependency from Germany; the Emilia Romagna region and part of the Marche region abound with excellent assets; tourism in Tuscany, Umbria, Lazio (Rome), Apulia and Sicily has been booming.\u201d<\/p>\n

Basically, De Rita insists that \u201cpaying more attention to these more vigorous parts of the economy would boost morale, and as we’re about to face what is likely going to be a difficult winter, this is more important than speculations about public finances.\u201d<\/p>\n

Those familiar with the extremely complex \u2013 at times controversial and even contradictory \u2013 nature of Italian manufacturing can only agree with De Rita’s assessment. In fact, they recognise the successful reorganisation efforts of districts and production supply chains<\/strong>; the large and medium producers of green steel located between Cremona and Brescia; the enterprises who have embraced environmental and social sustainability as powerful and international competitive assets; the initiatives that are reviving the industrial north-west regions through fertile collaborations with entrepreneurial associations in Milan, Turin and Genoa; the industries that are revamping products and processes, making acquisitions and building partnerships abroad \u2013 such dynamism may not yet be fuelling the whole country or its economy, but can keep the crisis at bay and provide the foundations for the recovery. As Carlo Bonomi, president of entrepreneurial association Confindustria, concisely comments, \u201cThis is a complex scenery, but the industry remains strong. Italy can make it\u201d (Il Sole24Ore, 5 October).<\/p>\n

We just need some suitable Italian and European policies to strengthen such resilient social capital built on entrepreneurship and a desire for change \u2013 we just need a new and better culture rooted in responsibility.<\/p>

(photo Getty Images)<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Italian economy is on the rise again, though only by a fraction \u2013 and this fraction is progressively shrinking, 0.7% this year and an expected 0.5% in 2024. Unfortunately, then, we’re back to that flat and stagnant state that marked the last 20 years, trailing behind all main European countries after those erratic post-Covid […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":98445,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[55,56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","category-corporate-culture"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nItaly is facing a crisis but not all is lost yet, according to Bartali, De Rita and those who know about Italian industry - Fondazione Pirelli<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fondazionepirelli.org\/en\/corporate-culture\/blog\/italy-is-facing-a-crisis-but-not-all-is-lost-yet-according-to-bartali-de-rita-and-those-who-know-about-italian-industry\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Italy is facing a crisis but not all is lost yet, according to Bartali, De Rita and those who know about Italian industry - Fondazione Pirelli\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Italian economy is on the rise again, though only by a fraction \u2013 and this fraction is progressively shrinking, 0.7% this year and an expected 0.5% in 2024. 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